Bob Bendat
  • Real Estate
  • June6th

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    Forex – CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.7% between March and April
    By: Calculated Risk on June 1 11 1:55 EDT
    Notes: Case-Shiller is the most followed house price index, but CoreLogic is used by the Federal Reserve and is followed by many analysts. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average of February, March, and April (April weighted the most) and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).

    From CoreLogic: CoreLogic® Home Price Index Shows First Month-over-Month Increase since mid-2010

    CoreLogic … today released its April Home Price Index (HPI) which shows that home prices in the U.S. increased on a month-to-month basis by 0.7 percent between March and April, 2011, the first such increase since the home-buyer tax credit expired in mid-2010. However, national home prices, including distressed sales, declined by 7.5 percent in April 2011 compared to April 2010 after declining by 6.8 per cent in March 2011 compared to March 2010. Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices declined by 0.5 percent in April 2011 compared to April 2010.

    “While the economic recovery is still fragile and one data point is not a trend, the month-over-month increase based on April sales activity is a positive sign. …” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.
    I was expecting the CoreLogic index to increase over the summer because it is not seasonally adjusted, however the seasonal increases usually start in June (when the Spring home purchases start to closes). This is just one data point, but it is possible this index will have small increases all summer.

    I’ll have more later (and hopefully a graph).

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  • June1st

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    Should You Rent or Buy in this Market?by The KCM Crew on June 1, 2011 · 1 comment

    in For Buyers,Pricing

    Many families are trying to determine whether or not now is the time to buy a home. Some are advising these families to sit out the current real estate market and instead rent for the next year or two. We do not agree with this advice. Homeownership means a lot to a family. We also realize that the financial aspects of purchasing a home today can be a concern. The challenge is any advice given by someone in the real estate community is immediately dismissed as self-serving.

    For this reason, we want to give you the advice of three entities not involved in real estate sales:

    Citigroup“When we examine the relationships between mortgage payments and income and mortgage payments and rent, we see that these relationships have also reverted back to or below equilibrium points. In some cases, particularly when mortgage payments are compared to the cost of renting, home prices actually appear cheap.”

    JP Morgan“JPMorgan analysts said ‘the continuation of falling rental vacancies and rising rental demand will make home buying increasingly attractive’, especially as rental prices increase.”

    Business School professors Eli Beracha and Ken H. Johnson“Fundamental drivers now appear to be in place that favor homeownership over renting in the near term future…

    The second finding might seem unwise to many given the recent crash in the real estate markets around the country. However, rent-to-price ratios now seem to be in place along with other fundamental drivers that favor ownership over renting…

    Conditions (historically low mortgage rates and relatively low rent-to-price ratios) now seem in place to favor future purchases.”

    Bottom Line
    Is it better to rent or buy? According to those quoted above, it seems it may be becoming a no-brainer.

  • May27th

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    by The KCM Crew on May 27, 2011 · 3 comments
    Why You Need a True Professional to Sell Your Home
    in For Sellers

    Many people ask whether they should hire an agent to sell their home or whether they should first try as a For Sale by Owner (FSBO). In today’s volatile market, I believe this is an easy decision: you need an experienced professional!

    You need an expert guide if you are traveling a dangerous path
    The field of real estate is loaded with land mines. You need a true expert to guide you through the dangerous pitfalls that currently exist. Finding a buyer willing to pay fair market value for your home at a time that there are mass inventories of foreclosures and short sales will take a true real estate professional. Finding reasonable financing can also be tricky in today’s lending environment.

    You need a skilled negotiator
    In today’s market, hiring a talented negotiator could save you thousands, perhaps tens of thousands of dollars. Each step of the way – from the original offer, to the possible re-negotiation of that off after a home inspection, to the possible cancellation of the deal based on a troubled appraisal – you need someone who can keep the deal together until it closes.

    Realize that when an agent is negotiating their commission with you, they are negotiating their own salary; the salary that keeps a roof over their family’s head; the salary that puts food on their family’s table. If they are quick to take less when negotiating for themselves and their families, what makes you think they will not act the same way when negotiating for you and your family? If they were Clark Kent when negotiating with you, they will not turn into Superman when negotiating with the buyer or seller in your deal.

    Bottom Line
    We believe that famous sayings become famous because they are true. You get what you pay for. Just like a good accountant or a good attorney, a good agent will save you money…not cost you money.

  • May24th

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    Appraisals: Why You Must Now Sell Your House Twice
    May 24, 2011

    Banks have become very conservative when lending mortgage money today. With the current foreclosure challenges in the country, we can’t really blame them. The requirements now necessary to qualify for mortgages have gotten much more stringent and it seems will get even more stringent as we move forward. The banks want to make sure the prospective buyer has the ability to repay the loan. However, this does not just involve the borrower buying the property.

    The second way a bank can protect their investment in the mortgage is to make sure that the collateral backing that mortgage is secure. That is where the appraisal comes in. The bank wants to make sure that, should the buyer not be able to make their payments, the house they will be forced to take back will sell for an amount at least equal to the balance left on the mortgage. For that reason, the banks seem to be getting more conservative with appraisals also.

    This past week, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their Existing Homes Sales Report. In that report, they said:

    “11 percent of Realtors® report a contract was cancelled in April from an appraisal coming in below the price negotiated between a buyer and seller, 10 percent had a contract delayed, and 14 percent said a contract was renegotiated to a lower sales price as a result of a low appraisal.”

    One out of four real estate transactions was either cancelled (11%) or renegotiated to a lower sales price (14%) because of a low appraisal!!

    Bottom Line
    Every house now has to be sold twice: first, to a potential purchaser and then to the bank appraiser. And, it seems that the second sale may be the more difficult of the two. Sit with a local real estate professional and make sure you put together a plan for both sales.

  • May23rd

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    National Housing Survey: What America Thinks
    Posted: 23 May 2011

    Each quarter, Fannie Mae releases their National Housing Survey. They survey the American public on a multitude of questions concerning today’s housing market. We like to pull out some of the findings we deem most interesting each time it is released. Here they are for the most recent report:
    The Most Important Reasons to Buy a Home
    When we talk about homeownership today, it seems that the financial aspects always jump to the front of the discussion. However, the study shows that the four major reasons a person buys a home have nothing to do with money. The top four reasons, in order, are:
    It means having a good place to raise children and provide them with a good education
    You have a physical structure where you and your family feel safe
    It allows you to have more space for your family
    It gives you control of what you do with your living space (renovations and updates)
    The Home as an Investment
    Though most people purchase a home for non-financial reasons, everyone realizes their is a money component to homeownership. Here is what they said on this issue:
    66% of the general population (and 71% of homeowners) believe that homeownership is a ‘safe’ investment. This is the first time since the studies inception in 2003 that this number increased.
    57% believe that homeownership has more potential as an investment than any other traditional asset class.
    67% think that now is a good time to buy a home
    Rent vs. Buy
    We are always interested in the difference people see in renting vs. owning.
    65% of renters have aspirations to someday own their own home
    74% of renters think that owning is superior to renting (up 6% since the last survey)
    96% of homeowners see homeownership as a positive experience (3% see it as a negative experience) while 82% of renters see renting as a positive experience (16% see it as a negative experience)
    92% of homeowners live in a single family residence while 48% of renters live in a multi-unit building
    Bottom Line
    Our belief in the value of homeownership grows each time this survey is released.